Monetary policy fragmentation has become the dominant market theme as major central banks pursue starkly different inflation fight strategies.

Policy Matrix:

Central BankCurrent RateNext MoveMarket Impact
Fed5.50%Hold → Cut SepUSD weakness
ECB4.25%Cut June → PauseEUR volatility
BOJ0.10%Hike JulyJPY surge

Cross-Asset Implications:

  • Currency Wars: EUR/JPY at 15-year lows
  • Yield Spreads: U.S.-Germany 10Y gap widens to 180bps
  • Equity Valuation: S&P premium to Euro Stoxx hits record

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